I
wish I could remember who first tweeted this or shared the
document (sorry). The book, Nine
Shift, appears to be an interesting look historically at what causes shifts
in our working and learning. Although written in 2003, the book makes
predictions that are, in fact, true today. Here’s a passage from the website:
"In just twenty years, between 2000 and
2020, some 75% of our lives will change dramatically. We know this because it
happened once before. Between 1900 and 1920, life changed. We moved from an
agrarian farming way of life to an industrialized way of life. Now it is all
happening again."
authors predict nine shifts by the year 2020.
Shift
One. People work at home.
Commuting to an office
will become a rarity, a thing of the past. A significant part of the workforce
will work from home or telecommute.
Shift
Two. Intranets replace offices.
Offices will diminish as
primary work places. Intranets will replace physical offices for most
businesses, companies and nonprofit organizations.
Shift
Three. Networks replace pyramids.
The basic organizational
structure of life in the last century, the organization chart or pyramid, goes
into steep decline. It is replaced by a superior organizational structure, the
network.
Shift
Four. Trains replace cars.
The automobile, the
dominant mode of transportation in the last century, loses its dominance and
becomes a peripheral and supplemental mode of transportation. Trains and light
rail become the dominant mode of transportation.
Shift
Five. Dense neighborhoods replace suburbs.
Suburbs, and suburban
sprawl, come to a halt and then recede. Towns and cities are reformulated
around dense communities composed of shops, stores and homes within walking
distance of a light rail station.
Shift
Six. New social infrastructures evolve.
The increasing
inequality in wealth between the rich and the rest of society comes to a halt.
The issue of inequality of wealth in society is addressed and a variety of
social reforms are implemented to restore more of a balance in income
distribution.
Shift
Seven. Cheating becomes collaboration.
New values, work ethics
and behavior of the 21st century take over. Boys are leading the change in
values and behavior, just as they did 100 years ago.
Shift
Eight. Half of all learning is online.
The traditional
classroom rapidly becomes obsolete. Half of all learning is done online,
changing the nature of how we learn and how we teach.
Shift
Nine. Education becomes web-based.
Brick and mortar schools
and colleges of the past century become outdated. All education becomes
web-based, providing a better education for both young people and adults.
Image: ‘I drive blurry‘
www.flickr.com/photos/90732224@N00/43869408